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Sunday, December 22, 2024

Bayrou Faces Early Challenges as Le Pen Signals Openness

France’s political turmoil continues. Far-right leader Marine Le Pen expressed cautious optimism after meeting the new Prime Minister, François Bayrou, on Monday, calling his approach “more constructive” than that of his predecessor, Michel Barnier.

“He listened carefully,” Le Pen told reporters. “It’s too early to say if our proposals will be considered, but we felt heard.” Bayrou’s efforts to build consensus began with talks involving Le Pen and Jordan Bardella of the National Rally (RN).

Fourth Prime Minister in a Year

Appointed last Friday by President Emmanuel Macron, Bayrou becomes the fourth prime minister to hold office this year. His immediate challenge is to secure parliamentary backing for the 2025 social security budget. Barnier’s failure to do so led to his ousting by a no-confidence vote, making him the shortest-serving PM in French history, lasting just 91 days.

Le Pen, a key player in Barnier’s downfall, dismissed his last-minute concessions. “Regular dialogue with all parties is essential,” she said. “This approach is a step in the right direction.”

Searching for Unity in a Fractured Parliament

Macron’s centrist alliance lacks a parliamentary majority, leaving Bayrou reliant on moderates from both sides. The RN, with 124 seats, remains the largest parliamentary group and a powerful force in decision-making.

Though initially skeptical of Bayrou’s appointment, Le Pen and Bardella appear willing to cooperate. “We will judge the government on its proposals,” Le Pen stated. “The prime minister’s commitment to equal treatment for all parties is encouraging.”

Balancing Budgets Under Pressure

Bayrou’s first priority is passing emergency legislation to extend the 2024 budget, before tackling the 2025 proposal early next year. France’s mounting deficit, projected to reach 6% of GDP, has drawn scrutiny from EU officials and financial markets.

Describing the task as “a Himalayan struggle,” Bayrou inherits a system weakened by Barnier’s failed €60 billion plan of tax hikes and spending cuts. Le Pen’s tempered support gives Bayrou a critical opportunity to stabilize France’s financial and political landscape.

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